Typical Climax Aftermath

At DecisionPoint.com we watch for what we call “climax days.” These are days when large price moves are accompanied by spikes in New Highs or New Lows, Net Advances minus Declines, Net Advancing Volume minus Declining Volume, and SPX Total Volume.

There are two kinds of climaxes: An initiation climax signals that a new trend is probably starting, and an exhaustion climax implies that the current trend will most likely pause for a few days. It could also mean that the trend is over, and that new and opposite trend may begin. This would likely be signaled by an initiation climax in the opposite direction. Each type of climax is also identified as being an upside or downside climax. We can only identify the type of climax after analyzing the context within which it occurs.

For example, on Monday (November 9) there was an upside exhaustion climax. (Since price was in an established up trend, it can’t have been an initiation climax.) We can also call it a blowoff, which had the potential for a violent price reversal. So far, all we have is a pause in the up trend with price churning sideways. Since we only have a pause, we should look for the up trend to continue.