Next coronavirus stimulus checks may not come until October

coronavirus stimulus checks october

The first stimulus checks went out in April. Since then there have been several speculations on the probable dates for the next stimulus checks. In July, it was largely believed that stimulus checks would arrive in late August or early September. Now that the talks have collapsed, speculations are that coronavirus stimulus checks may not come until October, if at all.

Get The Full Series in PDF

Get the entire 10-part series on Charlie Munger in PDF. Save it to your desktop, read it on your tablet, or email to your colleagues.

Q2 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Why no stimulus checks so far?

Democrats approved the HEROES Act costing more than $3 trillion in May. Republicans, however, kept on delaying things and came up with their proposal for the stimulus package, called the HEALS Act, only by late July. After that, the negotiations started.

At the time, it was largely believed that both sides would strike a deal in a week, and the IRS would start sending the stimulus checks out by mid-August. However, the negotiations dragged on till August 7 and eventually collapsed.

The House went on recess, but the Senate stayed in office for a few more days after August 7 in the hopes of a deal. At the time, it was believed that if both sides agreed on a package, then the first checks could go out by the end of August. But, no deal was reached, and the Senate also went on recess.

The hopes of a deal rekindled last week after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi called back the House to vote on legislation related to U.S. Postal Service funding. At the time, many thought that both sides would sit down for talks as well, but nothing happened.

Finally, the two sides – Pelosi and White House chief of staff Mark Meadows – talked on Thursday. However, no progress was made.

“This conversation made clear that the White House continues to disregard the needs of the American people as the coronavirus crisis devastates lives and livelihoods,” Pelosi said in a statement after the 25-minute phone call with Meadows.

Why no coronavirus stimulus checks before October?

Had the two sides agreed on a deal this week, the IRS would have start sending the checks by mid-September. Now, there is unlikely to be any deal or talks until after Labor Day, i.e. September 7. Senate is also currently on recess till Labor Day.

The Senate may be called back in between to vote, but for that to happen both sides need to agree on a stimulus deal, which looks highly unlikely for now. So, any talks between the two sides can only be expected after Labor Day.

Assuming talks start after Labor Day, and the two sides agree on a package, it could take about two weeks for all the details to be sorted out, including finalizing the provisions, getting it approved in the Senate and House, and finally approved by the President.

This means if all things go well, then the IRS would start sending the coronavirus stimulus checks (provided it is part of the package) by late September, or early October. In either case, those who need the coronavirus stimulus checks may not get it before October.

The post Next coronavirus stimulus checks may not come until October appeared first on ValueWalk.