From the AIA: ABI October 2025: Billings continue to decline at architecture firms
The ABI score of 47.6 for October indicates that fewer firms reported declining billings this month than in September, when the score was 43.3. In addition, inquiries into new projects increased significantly this month, with the largest share of firms in a year and a half reporting an increase. On the other hand, the value of newly signed design contracts decreased yet again, as projects remain smaller and clients remain hesitant to commit.
Billings softened at firms in all regions of the country in October, except for those in the Midwest, where they were essentially flat for the second consecutive month. Business conditions remained softest at firms located in the West, while the pace of the decline in billings held steady at firms located in the Northeast. Firms located in the South saw conditions weaken further this month, after approaching growth over the summer. The billings decline also accelerated this month at firms with a commercial/industrial specialization, returning to levels seen at the beginning of the year after approaching growth in the third quarter. And conditions remain soft overall at firms with institutional and multifamily residential specializations.
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The ABI serves as a leading economic indicator that leads nonresidential construction activity by approximately 9-12 months.
emphasis added
• Northeast (45.1); Midwest (49.6); South (45.3); West (42.1)
• Sector index breakdown: commercial/industrial (46.6); institutional (46.3); multifamily residential (46.8)
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the Architecture Billings Index since 1996. The index was at 47.6 in October, up from 43.3 in September. Anything below 50 indicates a decrease in demand for architects’ services.
Note: This includes commercial and industrial facilities like hotels and office buildings, multi-family residential, as well as schools, hospitals and other institutions.
This index usually leads CRE investment by 9 to 12 months, so this index suggests a slowdown in CRE investment throughout 2025 and into 2026.