My February Employment Preview
Click on graph for larger image.
Goldman February Payrolls Preview
Friday:
• At 8:30 AM ET, Employment Report for February. The consensus is for 400,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to decrease to 3.9%.
On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):
| COVID Metrics | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | Week Ago |
Goal | ||
| Percent fully Vaccinated | 65.0% | — | ≥70.0%1 | |
| Fully Vaccinated (millions) | 215.9 | — | ≥2321 | |
| New Cases per Day3 | 53,016 | 74,143 | ≤5,0002 | |
| Hospitalized3 | 38,175 | 54,307 | ≤3,0002 | |
| Deaths per Day3 | 1,558 | 1,711 | ≤502 | |
| 1 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%). 2my goals to stop daily posts, 37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths 🚩 Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths ✅ Goal met. |
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Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.
New cases, hospitalizations and deaths are declining.